“A recession is a significant decline in economic activity that goes on for more than a few months. It is visible in industrial production, employment, real income and wholesale-retail trade. The technical indicator of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth as measured by a country’s gross domestic product (GDP), although the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) does not necessarily need to see this occur to call a recession.” – Investopedia
I have read quite a few articles and watched videos featuring leading financial experts who are discussing the possibility of a recession. White opinion remains divided, the thought that several predict a recession causes me to revisit the idea of nonprofit organizations establishing “rainy day,” or reserve funds.
From USLegal, “A reserve fund is a fund of money created to take care of maintenance, repairs or unexpected expenses of a business.” Having watched nonprofits suffer intensely during the last recession – the magnitude of which we all hope will never be repeated – my advice for nonprofits during this busy year-end fundraising season is to be prepared. Take some of those year-end charitable donations and sock them away into a savings account or other fund where you can get to them easily if and when needed.
At the conclusion of this blog post, I include links to a few articles that gave me pause. Having said that, one of my favorite experts, Jim Cramer suggests in an article by Elizabeth Gurdus for CNBC, “Cramer explains the market volatility and why another Great Recession is not in the cards” (October 25, 2018). I hope he is right.
But even if a less harmful recession comes our way in 2020 or 2021, why not be prepared? #JustDoIt
Food for Thought | Noteworthy Media Coverage (Most Recent First)
- Sergei Klebnikov for Forbes, “America’s CFOs Are Warning Of A Recession. Here’s Why That’s An Important Indicator” (January 13, 2020).
- Daniela Cambone for TheStreet, “The ‘Greatest Depression’ Is Coming; This Is How to Prepare” (November 1, 2019). “Celente added that the Fed’s latest rate cut can be likened to ‘monetary methadone,’ where liquidity is pumped into a credit system that is already over-levered. ‘It’s just shooting in more money to keep the addicted bull running. It’s not boosting economies around the world, we’re looking at a global slowdown, and the numbers are there, and even people like the IMF, the World Bank, one after the other, they’re warning of a recession,’ Celente said.”
- Alan Murray and David Meyer for Fortune, “Economy on a Knife’s Edge: CEO Daily” (October 11, 2019).
- Ksenia Galouchko for Bloomberg, “Recession Fears Spike to 2011 High as Risk of Bubbles Spreads” (August 13, 2019).
- Jill Cornfield for CNBC, “One-third of Americans have cut their spending this year, and some fear a recession is coming” (July 1, 2019).
- Erik Sherman for Fortune, “A Majority of Economists Think the Next Recession Will Come by the 2020 Election” (June 4, 2019).
- Mary Romano for Fortune, “This Recession Predictor Just Hit Levels Not Seen Since 2007” (May 30, 2019).
- Jen Wieczner, Rey Mashayekhi, Lucinda Shen, Erik Sherman, Shawn Tully, and Nicolas Rapp for Fortune, “Spot the Next Recession: Today’s good times can’t last forever. Here’s how to decode the economy’s messages before a bear market eats your savings” (April 24, 2019).
- Chris Morris for Fortune, “Alan Greenspan Warns Investors: Bad Economic Times Are Looming” (December 18, 2018).
- Brian Sozzi for Yahoo Finance, “Not terrified of a recession? These stocks hint you should be” (November 12, 2018).
- Emily Stewart for Voz, “How close are we to another financial crisis? 8 experts weigh in” (September 18, 2018).
- Sean Williams for The Motley Fool for USA Today, “6 signs we’re closer to the next recession than you think” (September 5, 2018).
I have an article on Carolyn’s Nonprofit Blog called, “Economy and Philanthropy” you might also enjoy. It dates back to when I launched my blog during the economic downturn of the early 2010s.
As time moves forward, I continue to add new articles and resources. Check back often!